ATP i Madrid: Granollers taber til Viktor Troicki



Tuesday at the Mutua Madrid Open sees the entrance to this year's event of the big names, with Andy Murray, Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer all on the schedule.

All three are scheduled for Manolo Santana Court at La Caja Magica today, with Federer the first of the three to play at around 2.15pm UK time.

Monday wasn't the start to the week that I was looking for, as Jerzy Janowicz just about kept his nerves at bay for long enough to see out his first ever clay court win at tour level over Sam Querrey, who was just a little rusty at the start.

The American held break points when Janowicz began to choke in the final game, but wasted them and a visibly relieved Jerzy was able to sneak over the line.

Of the three stars on show today, it's hard to see Florian Mayer out-junking Murray even on clay and Federer should have few problems seeing off Radek Stepanek despite his recent break from the tour.

Djokovic looks by far the most likely to be tested when he takes on Grigor Dimitrov at 7pm UK time this evening. There'll be plenty of punters who'll be backing Dimitrov to take a set in that one.

In the early matches, Janko Tipsarevic looks too big at 2.75 against Juan Monaco. Tipsy has big points to defend here and these quick conditions will help him against the Argentine, who he has beaten the last times they've played.

I also think that in these quicker conditions Jeremy Chardy has a chance to beat Gilles Simon if the Frenchman is on one of his go days, but it's also worth risking a wager on Viktor Troicki today.

Troicki has shown a little more of his old self in the last couple of tournaments and the altitude should help his game against an ailing Marcel Granollers.

The Spaniard retired from the Tunis Challenger last week with some sort of flu and in any case his form has been very patchy in 2013 where you have to back to the first week of the season for the last time he won two straight matches on tour.

Granollers also has a poor record in clay Masters 1000s where he has only once been past the second round and he's struggled with Troicki's game in the past, losing four of their five meetings.

It's not often that I would fancy a bet on Troicki, but a lot of factors are in his favour today, which makes the 1.90 look quite appealing.

Best Bet: Back Troicki to beat Granollers at 1.90

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